2033 will finally be the year of linux desktop
And you’re right. 2032 is the last year that Win 10 gets updates.
Xorg will finally be put to rest at least. The wayland compositor is still a huge, monumental development, the excuses for using proprietary OSs will thin out.
I can’t wait for the day when Windows 12 releases and we get to bully windows users even harder.
The year that most people start using Linux is the year that it will find some way to sell out. *I know that it’s not a monolothic thing, GPL, etc. but people ruin everything… enshittification, uh, finds a way
Hopefully 😂
More climate refugees, more crop failures due to worsening climate change, more deaths due to climate change
Same as it does now, just with slightly less effective money.
Maybe a little sweatier and thirsty.
Not much different. Foldable phones will be widespread, American cars will be bigger, shaving machines will have more blades, natural disasters will be more common. We will go through one or two more cycles of drought/forest fires and heavy rains/floodings. We will see one or two mass migrations from India, Pakistan and Africa resulting in first climate refuge camps on the borders of EU.
shaving machines will have more blades
I wish they’d just work out how many blades is the optimum number of blades, and then put that number of blades on. Why are we doing this iterative design approach.
Anecdotally, I’ve found that answer to be one.
you forgot the next pandemic
So you are telling me there still won’t be flying cars in 10 years? smh
We have flying cars right now they’re called helicopters. You just don’t have one because they’re expensive.
I like the cut of your
jibblade, sailor.
Flying cars are a terrible idea. We can barely keep them rolling on the ground. Do you really want several tones of metal floating above your head?
Yes. Every single day, almost every person I see driving is looking at their cell phones or holding them at their mouth talking. I mean those odds should be astronomical, but it’s more common than not. Imagine adding another dimension of travel to that…
There will be exactly 4 flying cars in 10 years.
I’m the oracle, I have spoken!
Yeah, as the pinnacle of human achievement, we need to bring traffic congestion to the skies.
Foldable phones will be widespread
Very unlikely.
Wanna bet?
Sure. Ping me in 10 years and I will give you an upvote if you are right.
Deal!
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0.4C warmer globally
Depends whether we choose solarpunk or dystopia.
We’re already in a dystopia, it’s been that way for a while now, it’ll just get even more dystopian.
yeah pretty much. Eventually somethings gotta give, but its a matter of if we live to see it or not. I don’t think it will for me, but that’s what Lenin said in January 1917 so, you know. Never know!
I have a personal preference
My guess: Electric vehicles everywhere, protests, more linux users, and portless phones will be the norm
Edit: Oh yeah privacy is dead or at least much more harder to obtain
2033 is the year of Linux on the desktop.
1984
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More Linux users is really a coin flip in my mind. It feels like Linux had more users in 2016 than now. Linux had more games natively support it than today and proton for be had been really hit or miss. We’ll see if steam os ever comes to the desktop because I could see that being a major benefit to the Linux market but I don’t see it significantly growing before then on desktops.
You can install Proton (the game compatibility layer) on desktop Linux now, can’t you?
Yes, you always could. That’s not my point at all. Linux in general has been less stable through updates than Windows in my expense and in a lot of people’s experience. Steam os preserves root and wipes all packages that aren’t supported in the base install every update. So it forces stability. This is the length Valve has gone to in order to make Linux stable. Android is also stable in that same way. By making root fs essentially read only.
To make Linux more stable you have to reduce user choice and a lot of users are okay with this.
FUD.
The same as now but more dilapidated, desperate, and annoying, if you’re lucky enough to not have everything changed by climate catastrophe in that time or torn apart by war
Oh, and people won’t hang out outside much in most places for much of the year, we’ll all collectively shelter indoors, as discomfort from heat becomes common and people start adapting to constant dangerous heatwaves
Don’t forget the oppressively dense smoke covering all of North America every summer, simultaneously during extreme heat waves, meaning that the cheap leaky window AC systems found in normally cool areas will make people have to choose between overheating and coughing.
eventually there won’t be enough left to burn to cause the smoke clouds!
hooray!
We will likely have hit 1.5 + degrees of warming in 10 years time so our society may look quite different. It’s likely that our supply chains will be disrupted by this and become more localised as rising temperatures / intensifying weather events impact our capacity to grow / distribute as much food as we do now. There may potentially be Pacific Nations that no longer exist due to sea level rise. We will likely also see the beginning of a significant climate refugee crisis that nations in the global north will struggle to respond to.
I grilled dinner tonight out on our deck wearing a painters mask because the smoke from the wildfires around here is so thick it looks like it’s pissing rain outside. Only when I caught myself in the mirror with my plate, mask and tongs did I start to think, this seems a little odd.
We will start to see major companies collapse when they realize too late hoarding wealth means no one can buy anything.
What do you think human civilization will look like in 10 years?
Closer to Idiocracy.
In the west and culturally, a post-boomer period will have begun. And I think there’ll be continued evaluation of what mistakes that era made especially as climate change looms as an increasingly damaging debt. In a similar vein, the relationship with capitalism and big corps is, I think, going to get messy and more polarised, in part because the mistakes we’ve made will be hard to disentangle for many.
Overall, I suspect that for many paying attention, the downfall of the west will seem more and more plausible and closer and that will create a contentious atmosphere.
Downfall of the West relative to who? The whole world is impacted by climate change and the West is best positioned to manage its effects.
Well at first glance the West seems very well suited to buffer the effects, The last decade shows that it is hyper sclerotic and unwilling to give even the most minor concessions to adapt to change. This will be US centric, but the US was kind of behind on this trend (e.g. Orban, Erdogan, the AfD, etc. came before Trump). The only way the political system can function is by expanding authoritarian repression. No matter which party is in charge we have to keep expanding the military and police to fight the boogeyman (China, Russia, Republican Fascism, Democratic Deep State, etc.) and only appeals to voters/platforms are by how we need to fight back the horrors of the other party (fascism and the end of Democracy, Woke-ism and Democrat conspiracies). This fundamentally comes from an unwillingness to improve or maintain the standard of living of most, but would rather use violence to keep the lower orders and economically superfluous in line. Ironically, the more problems that we face, the more that the political system is converging and unwilling to adapt. This means that in actual policy both parties have been converging closer to each other (Biden has not deviated from Trump’s immigration policy, and is in fact, working towards Obama’s record as Deporter in Chief, has clawed back pandemic protections and relief even from the low bar Trump set, has been funding police using federal programs and therefore more anti-BLM than Trump). But for electoral and political identity reasons, the more that both parties are far-right fascist parties aligned on policy, their rhetoric and political maneuvers have to be more polarized.
So, even though in external challenges and capacity on paper are in the West’s favor, I really think we cannot count out the institutional decay and how every political institution is hell-bent against ever adapting to changing conditions other than strengthening the police-state.
It’s the Onion, but I think this demonstrates a metaphorical truth about how Neoliberalism of the last 40 years removed any state capacity to deal with crises and changing conditions: https://www.theonion.com/something-about-the-way-society-was-exposed-as-complete-1846251067
If we wanted to, sure. I mean, we like you and me want to, but we have no say. We were also supposedly “best positioned to manage a pandemic” and just look how that turned out. I know I’m not saying anything particularly novel here, but the capitalist response to covid has been a trial balloon for the capitalist response to climate change, and the results are pretty grim. As long as there’s more profit to be made at the top by monetizing the rot, the problems will never be addressed.
I did say “overall”, it wasn’t premised entirely on climate change. My concern is that the systems of government, influence and leadership have been pretty badly corrupted. No other region or culture needs to be better for this to be true … all cultures/civilisations have periods of decay without “dying” or being conquered.
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Agreed. I see supply chains (both production and logistics) for all sectors either disappearing all together or becoming severely limited. This will drive population reduction and the development of local economies. Local food production will become the highest valued commodity but the primary input (water) will be increasingly scarce and valuable. Rainwater harvesting will be a priority for all along with solar energy production and storage.
Crispy
