The gender gap is growing between supporters of President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll of registered voters.
And that’s good news for the Democratic incumbent: Biden holds a slight lead over Trump in Wednesday’s 2024 presidential election poll, 50 percent to 44 percent. The same matchup was “too close to call” just a month ago.
More women said they would support Biden over Trump in this latest survey, with 58 percent backing Biden and 36 percent backing Trump. Last month, the Quinnipiac poll found 53 percent of women supported the incumbent Democrat, compared to 41 percent for the Republican challenger.
The numbers were relatively unchanged for men — 53 percent of men said they’d vote for Trump and 42 percent chose Biden in the latest poll, compared to 51 percent for Biden and 41 percent for Trump in December.
I think the new consensus is that generations don’t trend conservative, but deaths trend liberal. People in need of healthcare tend to vote democratic - but people in need of healthcare also die at higher rates then the general population. Married people tend to live longer, and until gay marriage was legalized, that meant gay people lived shorter lives. Conservatives tend to be more afraid of things, which until they became afraid of COVID vaccines, made them more cautious and live longer. This is just but a handful of things that recently turned around and equalized the death rates.
I’m not sure about that. For one the trend towards conservative manifests itself way before death rates are a significant factor. Plus, none of that explains women who live longer.
No, it’s much simpler. Traditionally older people skew conservative because… well they simply want to conserve the past. It’s just straight up inertia. Nothing complicated about it.
Here’s the thing though: Republicans are not conservative. They do not want status quo. They are regressive. They want to completely reform the system from the ground up in their own vision. They have realized that the status quo is leaving them behind, and the only way for the system to work for them is to take it back by force, with new oppressive policies. Authoritarianism. Discrimination.
Anyway, support for regressive policies are not explained by inertia, for it is an opposite force. Which explains why this is no longer a generational divide. I think other factors are just minor details by comparison. The fact that these regressive policies discriminate against women, for example, is the new divide.
If anything I would speculate that it’s actually because people tend to accrue wealth as they get older and millennials are the first generation that’s really struggling to do that.