• jordanlund@lemmy.world
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    3 months ago

    Unlikely since Stein and Oliver both draw from different groups.

    Here’s how PA played out in 2020:

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Pennsylvania

    Democratic - Joe Biden - 3,458,229 - 50.01%
    Republican - Donald Trump - 3,377,674 - 48.84%
    Libertarian - Jo Jorgensen - 79,380 - 1.15%

    The Greens didn’t even rate. But assuming the Libertarian votes (Oliver’s party this time) would have all gone to Trump, that still wouldn’t have been enough to flip the election. 3,457,054

    • geneva_convenience@lemmy.ml
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      2 months ago

      2020 is a a bad metric to use.

      We are starting to see Republicans make concessions for independent voters. Trump is flip-flopping on weed and abortion to appeal to Libertarian voters. So far Democrats have not budged much on their key issue.