It also addresses issues raised in your edit (e.g. “Across the six battleground states that flipped from Biden to Trump, 20% of these voters said “ending Israel’s violence in Gaza” was their top issue in deciding not to vote for Harris, the second-most cited reason behind only the economy (33%).” - to your point about how they didn’t discuss the economy).
That’s what I’m saying about the 19 million figure. But the articles second paragraph is this
A YouGov poll backed by the Institute for Middle East Understanding (IMEU) Policy Project and released on Wednesday showed that among the 19 million people who voted for President Joe Biden in 2020 but did not vote in 2024, nearly a third named Israel’s U.S.-backed war on Gaza as a top reason for staying home.
My point is that that 19 million figure makes no sense/has no evidence to support it and isn’t mentioned anywhere in the poll.
Yes an edit: Also that’s a good point about the battleground state stats, thanks for pointing it out. I know Gaza had an impact, its just interesting seeing how much of an impact it actually had, which other polls show as much lower. Again, different polls, different methodologies, and different ways of getting the poll participants with Yougov doing purely online polls.
There were 3 that I found but apparently, when i looked them back up for this comment, two were written by the same person on different news sites so may as well be the same article so you’re right, there aren’t a many articles about it, although i wouldnt be surprised if more are written over the next few days.
And if they’re just copying the IMEU press release then that brings into question where are they getting that 19 million figure? Moves the issue from the news organizations to the IMEU, which is probably worse than just a news org being wrong.
The poll doesn’t say 19 million anywhere
It also addresses issues raised in your edit (e.g. “Across the six battleground states that flipped from Biden to Trump, 20% of these voters said “ending Israel’s violence in Gaza” was their top issue in deciding not to vote for Harris, the second-most cited reason behind only the economy (33%).” - to your point about how they didn’t discuss the economy).
That’s what I’m saying about the 19 million figure. But the articles second paragraph is this
My point is that that 19 million figure makes no sense/has no evidence to support it and isn’t mentioned anywhere in the poll.
Yes an edit: Also that’s a good point about the battleground state stats, thanks for pointing it out. I know Gaza had an impact, its just interesting seeing how much of an impact it actually had, which other polls show as much lower. Again, different polls, different methodologies, and different ways of getting the poll participants with Yougov doing purely online polls.
I don’t see how an error in a news article reporting on a poll done by a separate organization invalidates the results of that poll
Fair. But I also never said anything about it invalidating the poll.
Yes yes i do edits: i do want to say though it’s not just this one article mentioning the 19 million, each article about this poll has mentioned it.
I believe there are only two articles, which are presumably just sourcing from an IMEU press release for their poll.
There were 3 that I found but apparently, when i looked them back up for this comment, two were written by the same person on different news sites so may as well be the same article so you’re right, there aren’t a many articles about it, although i wouldnt be surprised if more are written over the next few days.
And if they’re just copying the IMEU press release then that brings into question where are they getting that 19 million figure? Moves the issue from the news organizations to the IMEU, which is probably worse than just a news org being wrong.