This is still a financial assessment, not a real one. There aren’t enough people who know how to architect, build, design, deploy, and operate the kinds of factories America would need. It would take 30 years minimum to even get to place of approaching where China was 20 years ago. By 2055, China will be so far ahead it’s ludicrous.
And that’s just the US trying to play catch up. China dominates academic research in high tech. The US would take at least 30 years to rebuild its university system to produce enough research and innovation that it could compete in the next century’s high tech arena.
And the US’s public schooling system doesn’t have what it needs to produce workers for that economy. Another multi-decade project.
And all of that doesn’t even touch the infrastructure problem. Transit just for employees is untenable for what would need to be done due to suburban sprawl and lack of public transit. But the rail, the roads, and the bridges aren’t in good enough repair to handle reindustrialization. And neither is the power grid, the water system, nor waste management. China is so far ahead on all of these aspects of infrastructure, it would take 30 years and about 4 New Deals worth of investment to just be able to compete with China of 2015.
For what it’s worth, I agree, hence why I said it would delay. The US’s only real hope for the future is Socialist revolution and building ties with the PRC so they help build up the US’s real productive forces.
PRC will never help the USA build up industry because the USA is a criminal settler colony. China will help whatever state emerges from the ashes of the USA rebuild after decolonization.
Not really. In the scenario of the US no longer being the world empire, I don’t see why the US couldn’t enlist help from other countries to re-industrialize. It could rebuild industrial capacity and educational capacity in parallel if say, it imported capital from China. You could drastically cut down rebuilding times with a planned economy.
What other countries? England? Germany? France? The industrial center has moved to China. The only country that could help would be China. And China is not going to help the USA build up the industrial capacity of a genocidal settler colony that will use that industrial capital to produce weapons.
No, it’s not realistic to assume that anyone is going to come and just help America. When America is no longer the world empire, the process of decolonization will eliminate this particular state and replace it with something unrecognizable. It won’t be called America, it won’t be Eurocentric, it won’t be trying to compete in world markets. It will be dismantled and gone.
What other countries? England? Germany? France? The industrial center has moved to China.
There are plenty of other countries with decent levels of industrial manufacturing in the global south. India, Brazil, Russia, Vietnam come immediately to mind. But that’s besides the point, since by the time that the US collapses, more global south countries will join the ranks of moderately/highly industrialized countries.
It won’t be called America
Well, uh, the thing that comes after America would be helped by the rest of the world. America would be gone, but the land and the people won’t be.
Hence why I said it would need essentially a mega-FDR admin or Socialism to achieve, and the mega-FDR admin would merely be a delay of crashing.
This is still a financial assessment, not a real one. There aren’t enough people who know how to architect, build, design, deploy, and operate the kinds of factories America would need. It would take 30 years minimum to even get to place of approaching where China was 20 years ago. By 2055, China will be so far ahead it’s ludicrous.
And that’s just the US trying to play catch up. China dominates academic research in high tech. The US would take at least 30 years to rebuild its university system to produce enough research and innovation that it could compete in the next century’s high tech arena.
And the US’s public schooling system doesn’t have what it needs to produce workers for that economy. Another multi-decade project.
And all of that doesn’t even touch the infrastructure problem. Transit just for employees is untenable for what would need to be done due to suburban sprawl and lack of public transit. But the rail, the roads, and the bridges aren’t in good enough repair to handle reindustrialization. And neither is the power grid, the water system, nor waste management. China is so far ahead on all of these aspects of infrastructure, it would take 30 years and about 4 New Deals worth of investment to just be able to compete with China of 2015.
There’s no way. The US is well and fully cooked.
For what it’s worth, I agree, hence why I said it would delay. The US’s only real hope for the future is Socialist revolution and building ties with the PRC so they help build up the US’s real productive forces.
PRC will never help the USA build up industry because the USA is a criminal settler colony. China will help whatever state emerges from the ashes of the USA rebuild after decolonization.
That’s more what I was talking about.
Not really. In the scenario of the US no longer being the world empire, I don’t see why the US couldn’t enlist help from other countries to re-industrialize. It could rebuild industrial capacity and educational capacity in parallel if say, it imported capital from China. You could drastically cut down rebuilding times with a planned economy.
What other countries? England? Germany? France? The industrial center has moved to China. The only country that could help would be China. And China is not going to help the USA build up the industrial capacity of a genocidal settler colony that will use that industrial capital to produce weapons.
No, it’s not realistic to assume that anyone is going to come and just help America. When America is no longer the world empire, the process of decolonization will eliminate this particular state and replace it with something unrecognizable. It won’t be called America, it won’t be Eurocentric, it won’t be trying to compete in world markets. It will be dismantled and gone.
There are plenty of other countries with decent levels of industrial manufacturing in the global south. India, Brazil, Russia, Vietnam come immediately to mind. But that’s besides the point, since by the time that the US collapses, more global south countries will join the ranks of moderately/highly industrialized countries.
Well, uh, the thing that comes after America would be helped by the rest of the world. America would be gone, but the land and the people won’t be.
100%, and is the most optimistic path within the realm of possibility.