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Joined 5 months ago
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Cake day: December 16th, 2025

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  • IMO your analysis is pretty good. Russia’s tactics are insufficient to successfully hold Ukrainian territory long term. Their only hope is Ukraine’s support evaporates and an isolated Ukraine succumbs to exhaustion. To this end they continue to foster a resurgence of right-wing russia-sympathetic parties throughout Europe, although it doesn’t look like this has been successful nearly as much as they’d hoped.

    Honestly, it really is starting to look like russia is nearing collapse. Financial institutions have warned inflation will be bad this year, and economic indicators all show severe strain (although not as severe as I’d like to see). There has been a notable uptick in the amount or public protests and outspoken complaints from civilians and even their milbloggers are expressing frustration with the russian army. Couple this with their admission that Victory day parades are vulnerable and I’m willing to start holding my breathe. All it takes is a spark…

    Personally, I’d like to see the Crimean Bridge collapse into the water. The ensuing panic and fury at russia’s helplessness would likely be sufficient at this point.