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Cake day: January 29th, 2025

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  • “Planners have set a deadline for coal consumption to peak no later than 2030

    Dude, do you understand the difference between ‘to peak’ and ‘to phase out’?

    That aside, even if the coal’s share of the power mix was less than half in China in June, the total volume of coal-generated electricity has increased. This is not good news.

    But there is no coal exit strategy in China.

    And let me say that it’s not that you are wrong. We all tell bullshit from time to time. What’s absolutely weird and unacceptable is your way to communicate and your tonality. It’s this complete disconnected world view and often ridiculously false narratives paired with a weirdly stubborn I-know-it-better-than-anyone-else attitude.

    I end this discussion now. Believe whatever you want.


  • China continuing their trajectory to start phasing coal out in 2030

    China still lacks a coherent coal exit strategy. There is also no clear commitment in the current 15th five-year plan to call a halt to coal expansion (while it says that fossil fuel energy consumption would increase by 8-10%, reversing the slow-down in fossil fuel energy consumption during the 14th FYP period). This comes form the Chinese Communist Party.

    You are making unfounded statements out of literally nothing, sometimes even in direct contradiction to the Chinese government itself. What you are saying is complete fantasy.


  • The way to turn everything into a “China good” narrative just to keep the propaganda going is really hilarious.

    China’s coal production fell in June by almost 10% only as a result of a coal mine explosion in the Shanxi province in late May. As the country is temporarily not able to produce enough coal itself, it increased its June imports by more than 30% (while coal production in June fell just 10%).

    In the first half-year 2026, the 1.7% increase of Chinese coal imports perfectly matched the country’s 1.7% production decline (which was, again, only due to a coal mine explosion rather than a deliberate policy decision).

    Overall fossil power generation in China rose 0.5% year-on-year in June and 2% in Q2.

    Nothing here is ‘good’.



  • @plyth

    Do you read your own links? The last one from Oxford Energy is a report published in 2020 (!) about the 14th fyp that has ended (and this is even the better part of your comment as it doesn’t even foster your own argument).

    Here is another analysis by the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air:

    The power sector target is weak. The target for non-fossil sources to provide 50% of power generation by 2030 still leaves roughly half of China’s electricity generation coming from fossil fuels. Starting from the plan’s 2025 baseline of 42.3% non-fossil generation, if total power generation grows by 5% per year, total generation would be about 27.6% higher by 2030. Under a 50% non-fossil share, fossil fuel generation, especially from coal, could still rise by around 10.6% over the period and the target would still be met. The plan reiterates that coal consumption should peak during the 15th FYP period, but it has no quantitative cap on coal generation or capacity, nor any explicit roadmap for phasing down coal.

    The new carbon intensity target for the power sector is even more conservative. The plan requires power sector carbon emissions per unit of generation to fall by more than 10% from 2025 level by 2030. Directionally, that is positive. But it does not imply an absolute fall in power-sector emissions. With 5% annual growth in power generation, a 10% reduction in carbon intensity would still allow power sector carbon emissions to increase by roughly 15% over the period, or almost 3% per year. To keep absolute power-sector emissions flat by 2030, carbon intensity would need to fall by roughly 22% if power generation grows by 5% per year. That makes the target look modest compared with recent progress. Ember estimates that China’s power sector carbon intensity fell to 525gCO2/kWh in 2025, down 5% from 2024. China’s official 2024 national electricity carbon footprint factor also fell by 6.9% year on year. [Emphasis mine.]

    Addition: And, again, the Chinese Communist Party’s own 15th five-year plan says that fossil fuel energy consumption would increase by 8-10%, reversing the slow-down in fossil fuel energy consumption during the 14th FYP period. At the same time, China’s own goals for non-fossil energy additions would see China’s annual green energy additions fall by more than half by 2030.












  • Hotznplotzn@lemmy.sdf.orgBanned from communitytoWorld News@lemmy.worldHow the "Kill Line" Redefined the American Dream in China
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    6 months ago

    Just look at the linked website and you will see that literally all articles by this author echo the Chinese government’s propaganda narratives without providing verifiable and independent sources (OP’s post history has the same propaganda spin).

    Xi Jinping has been advocating against social welfare on many occasions arguing that it would make people ‘lazy.’ It comes as no surprise that China’s social system is far behind compared to European countries, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, and many others. Inequality has also been rising in China in the last 10 years and is much higher than in all Western countries.

    There is also ample evidence that China’s future for a fairer social system is bleak under the current regime as social and health policies are heavily skewed toward the urban, formal, and state sectors. As one report says,

    In a system devoid of free elections, and where agriculture and rural areas have only a weak bureaucratic voice, farmers and migrant workers have minimal political clout and remain politically inactive at the national level. Consequently, social and health policies are heavily skewed toward the urban, formal, and state sectors, which are the loudest, best connected, and most articulate groups in Chinese society.

    This bias is perpetuated by a political regime that places a high premium on maintaining stability … Autocratic leaders deliberately uphold a social welfare regime biased toward government officials and urban employees in the state sector and providing only limited social welfare to other urban dwellers and rural workers in the informal sector […]

    Looking forward, as economic growth slows and the burden of providing the necessary social services for the elderly mounts, the expansion of the Chinese welfare state is likely reaching its limits.

    And this report highlights just one major weakness of China so-called welfare system. Framing China as a welfare state, even if just better than the US, is a very bad joke.



  • Asking whether China, Russia, or the US will be the biggest threat to Australia,

    • 31% say China is the biggest threat
    • 17% say it is the US
    • 5% say Russia
    • 31% say all three are equal

    Using the Trumpean decline into a dictatorship to whitewash China’s genocidal policies - by calling Xi a “stable dictator” or even calling China a reliable partner as it is often done - is odd to say the least.

    In that respect the title is highly misleading, but it aligns with OP’s spin of spreading pro-China authoritarian propaganda narratives as their post history shows.