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Cake day: 2025年6月30日

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  • In terms of office work, the technology pretty much already exists to cause a change akin to the change that happened from pre-photocopier (so typing pools), only the odd phone line per office building, no fax, obviously no computers/email/internet/mobile phones era office work to the office work of today.

    The energy use is unconscionable. The people currently owning the tech that runs large language models are awful, but it is possible for companies and individuals to run their own llm’s.

    Anyway, the point is, would it be daft for anyone to insist on working in a typing pool in a 1950s office today? I get why people dislike ai. I am not really trying to defend it, I’m just saying that it really is a mistake for anyone to just try and ignore it.





  • The IOC sell the rights for billions then tell the athletes, the actual content creators, they have to be amateur. In that sense the athletes come across as complete mugs.

    Obviously a small number of high profile athletes make loads of money, the rest are skint. Sound familiar? (Hint: hello capitalism), whose ‘competition’ ethos/blag is absolutely promoted by the games. Unfortunately for us all, we need global co-operation, if we are to divert course away from cataclysmic climate change, not global competition, with the many ending up skint while the few take all of the money. The olympics do not help; they are an anachronism

    Trump using it for an illegal re-election boost, as he inevitably will, really puts another nail in its coffin. Pity the world cup is in the US (again). FIFA is killing that goose too.









  • I’m sure that silicon valley executives visualise a future where they own the machines that produce all intellectual property and do most jobs. They see a return to feudalism where they are the lords.

    I think this greater vision is about as likely to be realised as it is that Elon Musk will invent full self driving, or robots that aren’t obviously remotely operated, or a tesla roadster, or a battery powered articulated lorry with thermo nuclear explosion proof glass, or building a rocket to get the US back to the moon before the Chinese in what is clearly a new space race/pissing match. Or a hyperloop, or ever getting anywhere near to building a colony on Mars, or, or, or.

    But I don’t think it is just a case of AGI or bust. LLM’s augmented with ai agents have a very real potential to replace a capitalism-destabilising percentage of white collar jobs without AGI.

    Just like the dot com bubble popping didn’t kill the web, I do think it is unlikely that any possible current AI bubble popping will kill capital’s push to automate jobs away.

    (And as far as I can see the AI bubble is the result of massive capital expenditure rather than rampant speculation, so because I am pretty confident in the ‘value’ to capital of LLM’s + AI Agent’s, I don’t really see it as the same kind of a bubble as the dotcom bubble.)


  • Yeah using tor broswer is generally slow - adjust expectation and see it as a necessary tradeoff for some privacy and it is fine.

    Further than that, browsing the ‘dark web’ has mainly been a boring/frustrating experience, but going forward, between tech oligarch-surveillance-capitalists co-option of the web on one side, and increasingly authoritarian Western governments on the other, the dark web might be the only place to get an online experience something like I was told the internet was going to be a few decades ago.