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Joined 11 months ago
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Cake day: October 26th, 2023

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  • The most recent trade up in the draft after the top 2 QBs were selected was last draft, when Houston traded the 12th pick, the 33rd pick, a future 1st, and a future 3rd for the 3rd pick and a 4th round pick, all for DE Will Anderson. You could argue that the 33rd pick (a high 2nd rounder) + swapping a 3rd rounder for a 4th rounder is equal value to a late 1st round pick, so the Texans essentially gave up 2 additional 1st round picks to move up.

    Also in recent history the Niners vaulted from 12 to 3 for 2 additional 1st round picks and a 3rd rounder, taking QB3 Trey Lance after Trevor Lawrence and Zach Wilson came off the board.

    So if we’re picking outside the top 10, and a clear QB3 emerges who’ll be a top 5 pick, we’d have to find a trade partner in the 3-5 range, and we’d have to give up at least 2 future 1st round picks (or equal value) to move up that high. That’s a big ask. Granted, it’s conjecture that a QB3 (Daniels, Penix, Nix, etc.) will rise that high and be drafted that early, but I still think it’s worth gaming out the possibility. This time last year I never would’ve thought Anthony Richardson would be the 4th overall pick.