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Joined 2 年前
Cake day: 2024年3月5日
  • SineIraEtStudio@midwest.socialtoUkraine@sopuli.xyz•Patriot air defenses struggle to track Russia’s modified missiles – Ukrainian Air Force
    5·
    5 天前

    I see what your saying better now and agree interaction of variables is important.

    I believe there is a graph that has number of drones and missiles fired by Russia and the Ukrainian interception rate of those missiles. My recollection is that the number of missiles fired varies quite a bit month to month, but that inception rate took a nose dive recently.

    I don’t think Russian missile barrages are the cause of the interceptor hit rate change, but do not have any source to back that up.

    In my view, that would either be due to the missile trajectory upgrade or if Ukraine ran out of interceptor missiles. I do not know if they are out of interceptor missiles or have changed their firing rate.

  • SineIraEtStudio@midwest.socialtoUkraine@sopuli.xyz•Patriot air defenses struggle to track Russia’s modified missiles – Ukrainian Air Force
    20·
    5 天前

    I forget my source (perhaps a recent Perun yt video), but the interception rate change is due to changes in Russian missile trajectory in the terminal phase.

    Previously, Russian missiles followed an arc trajectory to hit their target and were comparatively easy to intercept because it’s path until reaching it’s target was predictable (an arc).

    Now, Russian missiles follow an arc toward target A and then when they are over target B (real target) they enter a steep dive to hit target B.

    Hopefully that was understandable and helpful.

    Edit: changed potential source as a new Perun video came out today, and it’s not my source.