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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: July 11th, 2023

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  • My armchair general take is that Russia is just flinging whatever resources they have left at the Ukrainians. They’ve lost their professional army, their artillery stockpiles, KA-52s, Wagner. Now all they have left are T-72s, BMPs, and bodies, so they’re just hoping for any kind of win with that. It’s not working out, and I’m really curious how long it’ll be before they run out of soviet era armour and suicidal idiots, and what will happen next if they do.

    Western media has become completely defeatist about Ukraine’s prospects because Russia is still able to project strength. I honestly think that these tactics are a sign of desperation, and that things could start to fall apart quite suddenly for Russia. If for example, the US and EU pass more aid for Ukraine in early 2024, and Russia runs low on materiel, then it’s not difficult to imagine. I’m hoping that the new ATACMS variant will knock out the Crimean bridge soon, and that a surprise offensive across the Dnieper could isolate Crimea and create a strategic disaster for Russia.

    People who understand Putin say that he’s a gambler, not a strategic genius. He’s made so many bad bets since 2021, and I’m starting to hope that this latest roll of the dice using meat wave attacks could be the last time he’s able to double down without serious consequences.




  • I’ll give that article a read, thanks! In addition to infantry losses, I’ve been really scratching my head about equipment losses. I get that Russia has a colossal amount of old soviet junk which they can throw at Ukrainian defences, but they must be running out. They can only have so many old T-72s in storage that they can get going again. Tanks, APVs, artillary; long term I just don’t see how it will be possible to sustain an 800km long front line without armour or artillery support. Something has to give eventually.