• Nollij@sopuli.xyz
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    1 month ago

    It’s a numbers game. There are WAY more Jewish people in the US than there are Arabs (~7.5 vs 3.5 million, according to a quick Google search).

    Strategically, those Jewish voters are also more likely to switch to a Republican vote than the Arabs, regardless. It would take 2 Arabs (or any other Democratic voter) sitting out to counter a single Democratic voter switching to a Republican vote.

    Granted, none of this accounts for voter locations (because only the 7 swing states matter), voter enthusiasm, claims of national security, or (most importantly of all) ethics.

      • Nollij@sopuli.xyz
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        1 month ago

        I agree. That was an additional detail that I did not cover, as I wanted to keep it relatively simple. I expect that the anti-Netanyahu Jewish voters are unlikely to switch to voting Trump, given that the latter is firmly and openly pro-genocide.

          • 31337@sh.itjust.works
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            1 month ago

            And most major U.S. media outlets are highly biased toward Israel for some reason. I don’t know if I’ve ever seen the U.S. media this biased on an issue; I have to resort to small outlets like The Intercept or foreign media like Al Jazeera (which are biased in their own way), to stay informed. The only things comparable I can think of is the Iraq-WMD thing, and their perpetual bias against labor rights/for capital.

      • WhatYouNeed@lemmy.world
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        1 month ago

        AIPAC disagrees with you.

        Wait until after the election to see who really stands where.

            • Kalysta@lemm.ee
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              1 month ago

              And if the government were so inclined, they could declare AIPAC a foreign lobby group and stop them the same way they did RT.

          • stoly@lemmy.world
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            1 month ago

            It is importance but it’s unclear why you are mentioning it here.

            • Fosheze@lemmy.world
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              1 month ago

              Because they were responding to this comment by saying “AIPAC disagrees with you” implying that Jewish Voters = AIPAC.

              Except a lot of Jewish voters are anti Netanyahu and want a ceasefire too

              • WhatYouNeed@lemmy.world
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                1 month ago

                Not saying all Jewish voters = AIPAC. Some would, but not all.

                I’m sating AIPAC has an oversized influence in US politics.

      • kobra@lemm.ee
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        1 month ago

        Not at the expense of democracy, at least I hope. There is no other option this year.

        • Fosheze@lemmy.world
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          1 month ago

          And this will be repeated every election year from here on out now that the DNC knows they can get away with it.

          • kobra@lemm.ee
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            1 month ago

            There are other avenues that can be taken in a democracy between now and the next election. Ranked choice voting would be great.

            How would a trump win help the genocide happening in Gaza??

            • Fosheze@lemmy.world
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              1 month ago

              How would a trump win help the genocide happening in Gaza??

              Is this the only thing any of you can say?

              No remotely sane person is saying trump would be better. That doesn’t mean the DNC isn’t fucking us over a barrel. Sitting around parroting “Hur dur but trump worse” is just enabling them. After trump there will be someone else and the DNC will just keep following the overton window to the right because they just need to keep pointing out that the other guy is worse. Plus all their online enablers will just shut down any discussion by repeating “well you must love trump if you don’t like the DNC stepping on your balls. Yum yum tasty boot.”

              Newsflash they will never give us RCV. RCV would take this new powerful tool of “but other guy worse” away from them and they are never going to sacrifice that power.

    • geneva_convenience@lemmy.ml
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      1 month ago

      Everything can be justified in this way.

      “Adolf Hitler identified he needed to blame all problems on Jews. And systematically put them in concentration camps. This was a political move necessary to advance his career and appeal to voters.”

      • Nollij@sopuli.xyz
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        1 month ago

        To be clear, at no point was I trying to justify any actions. My only goal was to explain the strategic path that would lead to it. And of course there are additional nuances, which I alluded to at the end.

        Besides, a winning strategy is not an indicator of ethics.

    • stoly@lemmy.world
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      1 month ago

      People are downvoting you because they don’t like the outcome, not because they disagree with your argument.