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Cake day: September 9th, 2025

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  • For comparison, the USWNT has played 14 games in Columbus, Ohio, and had an attendance of 18,545 at their latest match there:

    This match marked just the third time that the USWNT has played at Lumen Field, but the first time since 2017. The crowd of 36,128 showed up loud and proud, breaking the all-time attendance record for a standalone women’s sporting event in the city, to no one’s surprise.









  • Beating CPI nominally means it’s keeping up with rent, insurance, vacations, so I think your first paragraph is a little misguided (though the analysis does seem strong on the whole, please don’t read this as me being dismissive). I find the Statista headline somewhat deceptive – barely keeping up with inflation is another way to say that real wages are rising, which should be reflected as an improvement to people’s lived experience, even though that really doesn’t seem to be the case. And similarly, the idea of the CPI is that when insurance, rent etc are increasing faster than the CPI, it’s because we’re seeing compensatory gains in affordability in other parts of the market basket – groceries, medical care, what have you. I do find your argument that the CPI is measuring the wrong thing to be very persuasive, since it’s about the only thing that makes any sense to me – how else would we see sentiment tanking while economic indicators are rising? I’m just not sure what is being left out, though the idea that interest on credit cards isn’t included in the CPI and has significantly increased does sound very plausible.

    Edit: I actually left out the part where we agree the hardest, which is dumb. I’m with you 1000% on the wealth gap being K-shaped and affecting consumer sentiment. I think there’s a real possibility that at a certain level of inequality, it doesn’t matter to Joe and Jane Consumer if they are richer than last year or not because Elon Musk is rich enough to cause Kessler Syndrome and no-one can stop him.







  • I might be missing some subtlety because of the axios paywall, but it is strange to me how completely decoupled our economic indicators have become from what people say about the economy. If you just look at the numbers, “the economy” is the best it’s ever been; if you look at what folks are saying on the socials, it’s the worst it’s ever been. You look at indicators that say that wages are up, sentiment is up, gdp is up, ppp is up, etc, and then everyone on fedi is working six jobs, haven’t been on a vacation in 17 years, and have four separate go-fund-me’s to make ends meet. I’m somewhat inclined to believe the truth is somewhere in between, such that traditional economic indicators (like the value of a bundle of representative stocks or a consumer sentiment survey) are missing quite a lot of the real economic activity and that folks online are confusing “US foreign and domestic policy are awful” for “the US economy is awful,” but we’ve slashed the BLS so thoroughly that I’m open to all sorts of exotic explanations.